Jin Guanping, Economic Daily: Implement more active and promising macro policies. The article points out that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025, and put forward "implement more active and promising macro policies" and "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment" in view of the macro policy orientation next year, and clearly implement more active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies. This important deployment has released a clear signal of strengthening macro-control and strong and steady growth. Implementing a "more active" fiscal policy means increasing fiscal countercyclical adjustment and improving the effectiveness of fiscal policy while maintaining policy stability and continuity. "Moderately loose" means that monetary policy will better reflect the supportive stance and orientation, maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, and further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents.Details of the "Teze Meeting" exposed Trump's friendliness. Zelensky said that he wanted security. Two sources said that during his first meeting with Trump after the US election, Ukrainian President Zelensky emphasized that Ukraine needed security in any negotiations with Russia to end the conflict. French President Macron presided over the meeting in Paris. The three leaders talked for 35 minutes without a consultant, and did not discuss any specific details of the vision of peace, but four people familiar with the matter said that Trump reiterated his hope for an immediate ceasefire and a rapid end to the war through negotiations. One of the sources said that Trump was friendly, respectful and open, and seemed to be listening. A source said: "Some key points were mentioned during the meeting. For example, some people said that peace needs to be guaranteed, because a ceasefire alone is not enough. Putin may break the ceasefire again without proper guarantee as before." The source said that Trump "he is considering all the details." Several officials close to Trump said that Trump's direct contacts with Zelensky were generally cordial, which was different from some of his previous public statements, including calling Zelensky "the greatest salesman on earth" because he requested and accepted billions of dollars in US military assistance.Qujiang Wenlv: It received a warning letter from Shaanxi Supervision Bureau, and Qujiang Wenlv announced that the company received the Decision on Taking Measures to Issue Warning Letters to Xi 'an Qujiang Cultural Tourism Co., Ltd., Xie Xiaoning and Xi 'an Qujiang Tourism Investment Co., Ltd. issued by Shaanxi Supervision Bureau of China Securities Regulatory Commission on December 10, 2024. After investigation, the company delayed the disclosure of the major event that 8.23% of the company's shares held by the controlling shareholder Xi 'an Qujiang Tourism Investment Co., Ltd. were to be disposed of by the judiciary, which violated the relevant provisions of the Measures for the Administration of Information Disclosure of Listed Companies. According to Article 52 of the Measures, Shaanxi Supervision Bureau decided to take administrative supervision measures to issue warning letters to the company, Xie Xiaoning, the relevant responsible person, and Qujiang Travel Investment, the controlling shareholder. The company will seriously rectify, strengthen information disclosure and corporate governance, and improve the operation level and information disclosure quality.
CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Qujiang Wenlv: It received a warning letter from Shaanxi Supervision Bureau, and Qujiang Wenlv announced that the company received the Decision on Taking Measures to Issue Warning Letters to Xi 'an Qujiang Cultural Tourism Co., Ltd., Xie Xiaoning and Xi 'an Qujiang Tourism Investment Co., Ltd. issued by Shaanxi Supervision Bureau of China Securities Regulatory Commission on December 10, 2024. After investigation, the company delayed the disclosure of the major event that 8.23% of the company's shares held by the controlling shareholder Xi 'an Qujiang Tourism Investment Co., Ltd. were to be disposed of by the judiciary, which violated the relevant provisions of the Measures for the Administration of Information Disclosure of Listed Companies. According to Article 52 of the Measures, Shaanxi Supervision Bureau decided to take administrative supervision measures to issue warning letters to the company, Xie Xiaoning, the relevant responsible person, and Qujiang Travel Investment, the controlling shareholder. The company will seriously rectify, strengthen information disclosure and corporate governance, and improve the operation level and information disclosure quality.Yuanyuan Communication: The plan being evaluated and negotiated between the company and toy manufacturers does not involve ByteDance, and the results of subsequent negotiations are still uncertain.
Kei Ma quit Xiaomi Home Technology Co., Ltd., and Tianyancha App showed that recently, Xiaomi Home Technology Co., Ltd. underwent industrial and commercial changes, and Kei Ma stepped down as the legal representative and manager. As Peng took over, Lei Jun was changed from an executive director to a director. Xiaomi Home Technology Co., Ltd. was established in January 2017 with a registered capital of RMB 80 million. Its business scope includes communication equipment sales, computer software and hardware and auxiliary equipment wholesale, computer software and hardware and auxiliary equipment retail, shoes and hats wholesale, motorcycles and spare parts wholesale, etc. It is wholly owned by Xiaomi Communication Technology Co., Ltd. According to media reports, recently, Kei Ma, vice president of Xiaomi Group, has left his post, and the news has aroused many concerns.Xie Yunliang, macro chief analyst of Cinda Securities, said that historically, the establishment of a "moderately loose" policy orientation needs to meet two major conditions, namely, the domestic pressure to stabilize prices is high and the foreign Federal Reserve is in a loose cycle. At present, it is judged that both situations may exist next year.Sichuan issued 30-year ordinary special local bonds, with a scale of 35.4 billion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2000%, a marginal multiple of 1.58 times and an expected multiple of 2.19.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide